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July 14, 2008

3G Is Carriers' New Golden Goose, Are We Ready To Pay?

Unless you've just been to Mars, you'll have noticed the world has gone iPhone 3G crazy. Apple announced today it sold 1 million devices, TechCrunch declared the mobile web is here, and if you didn't stand in line to get your iPhone yet then, well, you're planning to.

I was pleased to encounter a refreshing perspective from Mark Evans on the newly crowned Golden Goose of the wireless industry - 3G. I agree with Mark that the time is ripe for wireless carriers to milk this cow, and milk it they will.

However, the web as we know it has evolved in a world where data is free. It is this reality that enabled the evolution of online video, file sharing and media-rich web applications - to name a few.

Are we ready to be charged for data, to measure our every download and count our every byte? I say - no, we aren't (although we'll tolerate it temporarily). Wireless carriers will strive to run the mobile web world as a mobile world - but down the road, it is the web world that will prevail. Web's Trojan Horse, if you like.

For the time being, I would keep an eye on these technologies:

a) Bandwidth reducers: data counters, intelligent compression and of course anything that optimizes Wi-Fi use vs. 3G.

b) Bandwidth-rich mobile apps - sorry, you're in for a rough patch

 

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